Valve’s recent Steam Machine announcement may have fuelled fans’ hopes that Half-Life 3 could finally be happening, but analysts don’t think the new hardware would need the first-person shooter to sell. But that said, if it did get the game as a launch title, “its impact would register on a GDP level.”
Half-Life 3 hype has been reaching fever pitch lately – not only is today the 27th anniversary of the series, but Valve recently announced new hardware, and in its reveal, showed off stickers that some thought could hint at a Half-Life tease. That, and The Game Awards host Geoff Keighley has also been acting rather suspiciously about his one wishlisted Steam game. Certainly, none of this is irrefutable evidence that something is actually happening, but we reached out to a number of analysts to ask if the Steam Machine needs a game like Half-Life 3 to help sell it in the first place, and if exclusive games for the hardware could be a possibility.
This sentiment is echoed by Dr. Serkan Toto, CEO of Japan games industry consultancy Kantan games. “In theory, Half-Life 3 exclusive on Steam Machine could move the needle for Valve indeed,” he begins, noting that “in theory, a bundle deal with the game to be flexible on hardware pricing is possible.”
Could we truly see Half-Life 3 as an exclusive, though? He doesn’t think so. “I don’t think you will need to buy the Steam Machine to be able to play Half-Life 3. Such a move would be just too radical,” he says.
CEO of research firm DFC Intelligence, David Cole, agrees, saying that “we do not think Steam Machine will have exclusives,” and that “Valve does not need a single big title to drive sales.” He adds: “The Steam library is huge and the Steam Machine is all about giving living room plug and play access to that huge library.”
None of this is to say that Half-Life 3 is happening in the first place, of course, as much as fans are pleading for it to be the case. But if by some miracle it does get announced, it sounds like it’d be very unlikely that anyone reluctant to take the plunge and buy a Steam Machine will be missing out on the sequel people have been begging for.
